close
close

Attacks can take the lead at Padres vs. Red Sox

Attacks can take the lead at Padres vs. Red Sox
Attacks can take the lead at Padres vs. Red Sox

Padres vs. Red Sox, 7:10 ET

Padres vs. Red Sox, 7:10 ET

In my opinion, cross-country matchups are always some of the more interesting matchups. Of course, every team plays every other team, usually in two series per year. Interleague games are always a bit exciting and there are some interesting considerations when teams travel across the country to play each other. Today we have to think about these things and more when betting on the Padres vs. Red Sox game.

The Padres have a batting average above .500, which isn’t something you could say about the club a lot in recent years. The team has done a lot to become a winning team and just can’t find a way to get over the hump. We’re not saying the team is some kind of phenomenal team right now, but being above average is certainly better than chasing mediocrity. If they can make some improvements in the bullpen, I think they have a real chance to be a Wild Card team. Just like in poker, all you need is a chip and a chair. They have the batting power to do that, and if the pitching holds up, they have to be considered a serious threat to whoever they play. Tonight, they send Randy Vasquez to the mound, and he’s not someone I want on my playoff roster or even in my rotation as of this point. His numbers are probably worse than his actual performance, but he doesn’t pass the eye test either. He has started five times this month and only one of those was truly pathetic, as he allowed six earned runs on 12 hits in 4.1 innings. My biggest issue with him is that his WHIP is 1.68, which means a lot of players get on base against him. He has also pitched very poorly away from home, with an ERA of over 6.50. He has faced Red Sox hitters just 10 times and allowed one hit. It was a home run to Rafael Devers, of course.

The Red Sox continue to be one of the biggest surprises of the season for me. I think this club is over-performing on virtually every level. We’ll see if they come back down to earth a bit in the second half of the season, but there’s a real possibility they make the playoffs. I had them in the very last place in the division, so I was wrong about my playoff future once again (to give myself a little credit, I picked the Brewers at +800 to win the NL Central. They’re currently favorites). The pitching has done very well even without a true ace, and the team has a star in Devers, but I’m not entirely sure I’d debate whether he’s a superstar. Either way, one of their better pitchers will be going tonight, as Nick Pivetta takes the ball for the Red Sox. He has a 4.06 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. His low WHIP shows that he’s probably pitching better than his luck would suggest. This has been a good month for him, as he’s had two good starts and two appearances where he lasted just four innings. The Padres hitters have been tough against him, with 14 hits in 44 at-bats. However, Kyle Higashioka is the only player who has been consistently good against him.

This feels like we should bet the over. Pivetta can put on a great outing whenever he gets the ball, but the Padres are good on offense and have shown in the past that they can handle his stuff. Vasquez isn’t a good enough pitcher to trust him to contribute to an under, and the Padres bullpen is more than accommodating when it comes to allowing runs. Bet the over.

For more sports betting information and moves, follow David on X/Twitter: @futureprez2024

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *