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Yankees and Rays should find ways to score early and often

Yankees and Rays should find ways to score early and often
Yankees and Rays should find ways to score early and often

Yankees vs. Rays, 6:50 ET

Yankees vs. Rays, 6:50 ET

After much mediocrity, it was finally a good day for readers. We got a win on the field, and a very lucrative one at that if you bet on the Cubs and the under as suggested. I don’t want to take credit for the Cubs win, and yesterday we officially won 1-0 in baseball, but I’ve been sharing thoughts like “I think X could happen” a lot this year. I guess I just have to share those thoughts in addition to my official plays. Anyway, we did that and got a win in WNBA play, now bringing our Outkick article record to 9-2. We’re back on the field here, focusing on a few more AL East teams as the Yankees take on the Rays.

The Yankees have been one of the best teams in baseball all season. Even now, they have one of the best records in the game and play consistent baseball. It helps to have two of the best baseball players on the team. It helps even more when they’re both healthy and absolutely crushing the ball. They also recently got their ace back, so the team should be in great position for a postseason appearance and even a deep playoff run. Only time will tell, and the season could go down the drain if Aaron Judge gets injured again, but let’s assume he stays healthy. The biggest question for the team then will be: do they make the playoffs as division winners, or do they enter the team as wild card winners? Not a bad situation as we head into the All-Star break. Tonight, they have Nestor Cortes on the ball, and Cortes has been interesting this season. At home, Cortes is one of the best pitchers in baseball. He is throwing to a 1.81 ERA and allowing 13 total earned runs in 64.2 innings. He hasn’t been as reliable on the road. In nine starts, he has a 5.63 ERA and has allowed 29 earned runs in just 46.1 innings. Obviously, he’s more comfortable pitching in New York than away. This is a trend with a lot of pitchers as they are very routine based, but this is a very drastic difference. He’s faced Tampa twice this year and allowed four earned runs in 12.1 innings. In New York, he pitched seven scoreless innings against them. In Tampa, he had a 5.1 ERA and allowed five earned runs, including two home runs and three walks.

The Rays are making waves in more ways than one. Off the field, Wander Franco is back in the news as he has been officially charged with sexual exploitation of minors. He will certainly never see a baseball field again. Even if it’s not true, he will probably never play again — just like Trevor Bauer, who knows how false claims can destroy a career. There is certainly more evidence with Franco, but this should officially close a chapter on the Rays. As for the team actually playing, they finished the day on July 4th at 44-43, above .500 for the first time since May 20. They then lost four of their last five games and have a record of 45-47 today. They are 12 games behind the division and 5.5 out of the final Wild Card spot. I would guess they will try to bring in reinforcements before the deadline, but there have been rumors they are trading Randy Arozarena, so who knows what they will do. All we know is that they face the Yankees tonight and Shane Baz starts for them. Baz made his first start of the season last week, going six innings against the Rangers, allowing just three earned runs. Unfortunately for him, the Rays were left empty-handed and lost the game. Still, you can’t expect much more than a good start from your starter. Baz has done that, now the offense has to find a way to contribute. He has faced Yankees hitters a total of 10 times in his career and they have won 4 of 10. Judge has hit a home run against him.

If Baz had more starts under his belt, I would be a little more confident he will lead the Rays to victory. However, as it stands, I expect the Rays to win the game and probably win the first five innings as well. Even though I said I had to pull the trigger, I just can’t. However, the first five innings and the game as a whole are trending heavily in their favor. My official prediction is that they will score 8+ runs for the game. Cortes has been bad on the road and Baz probably won’t be able to keep the Yankees lineup in check. I’m going to bet on them here even if the Rays offense struggles.

For more sports betting information and games follow David on X/Twitter: @futureprez2024

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